Can Al’s Newcastle knock Harry’s bandwagon off the rails?

Premiership Preview.co.uk
takes a look ahead to Sunday's game at WHL and pinpoints the best prices for
those of you who enjoy a flutter.

Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United

Sunday 19^th April 1.30pm ko Live on Sky 

H2H in
Premier League 

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20
GAMES)

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR – HOME

NEWCASTLE UNITED – AWAY

H2H (LAST
5 SEASONS – 11 LEAGUE GAMES)  

THIS
SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME 

CURRENT FORM

TOTTENHAM
HOTSPUR - LAST
FIVE GAMES 

NEWCASTLE
UNITED - LAST
FIVE GAMES 

TEAM NEWS

Roman
Pavlyuchenko and Jermaine Jenas are both struggling with injuries and are rated
doubtful. 

Jermaine
Defoe is back in training and could be involved for Tottenham. 

Obafemi
Martins, Steven Taylor Jose Enrique and Peter Lovenkrands are all doubts for
Newcastle. 

Joey
Barton remains on the sidelines but Mark Viduka is back in the squad. 

TOTTENHAM
HOTSPUR Squad: Gomes,
Corluka, King, Woodgate, Assou-Ekotto, Huddlestone, Lennon, Jenas, Bent,
Modric, Keane, Palacios, Pavlyuchenko, Cudicini, Bale, Zokora, Bentley, Dawson,
Chimbonda, O'Hara, Hutton, Campbell. 

NEWCASTLE
UNITED Squad: Harper,
Forster, Krul, Beye, Bassong, Coloccini, S. Taylor, Edgar, Cacapa, Butt, Duff,
R. Taylor, Gutierrez, Nolan, Guthrie, Lovenkrands, Geremi, Smith, Martins,
Owen, Viduka, Carroll, Xisco, Ranger. 

TOP
SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY) 

TOTTENHAM
HOTSPUR    NEWCASTLE UNITED 

THE
ORACLE'S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK) 

TOTTENHAM
7/10 59%

               DRAW   14/5 26% 

ANALYSIS

MATCH: 

Tottenham
are the form team coming into this one with five wins out of seven in the
league. They were on course for six out of seven at Blackburn two weeks ago
before a poor refereeing decision reduced them to ten men and they conceded two
late goals. Tottenham's form under Harry Redknapp has improved dramatically and
they are now on course for a UEFA cup spot. 

Newcastle
are seven games without a win and have won once in sixteen. They are running
out of games and have to start winning soon if they are to have any chance of
staying up. Alan Shearer will be targeting three points from this one as a draw
simply isn't good enough at this stage of the season. Newcastle actually have a
very good recent record against Tottenham, winning the last six in a row.
However, those victories came under different managers and with better players.
This current Newcastle side has one just three of their last twenty away games
and I'll be very surprised if they make it seven in a row on Sunday. 

Newcastle
have drawn twelve of their thirty two games this season which is more than any
other Premiership side. At 3.9 on Betfair, the draw is possibly the value call
in this market. However, with the carrot of European football in front of them
and a near fully fit squad, I think Spurs will probably take all three
points.   

GOALS: 

There is
a strong history of high scoring games in this fixture with the last seven in a
row featuring three or more and averaging 3.6 goals per game. Newcastle have
one of the highest goals per game averages in the division at 2.8 goals per
game and have kept just one clean sheet in their last fifteen. It is no
coincidence that Shay Given left the club in January. Tottenham on the other
hand have only averaged 2.3 goals per game and White Hart Lane has seen fewer
goals than any other Premiership ground this season. I think this is partially
down to Tottenham struggling in front of goal earlier this season and now that
everyone is fit they look to have plenty of goals in the team.  

There has
never been a goal less draw between these two sides in the history of the
Premiership. Newcastle have also scored more goals against Spurs than any other
Premiership club. I think this could be an open game with both teams going for
the win and consequently, I think evens about over 2.5 goals looks a bit of
value here. 

GOALSCORERS: 

Robbie
Keane is Tottenham's main goal threat but at 13/8 doesn't offer particular
value. Newcastle's Michael Owen does appear to be a shade of value at 11/4 to
score anytime with Paddypower. Owen has missed a large part of the season
through injury but has fantastic goals to game ratio when he does play. He has
had a few games to build up match fitness now and I expect to see his name on
the score sheet sooner rather than later.

RECOMMENDATIONS

1pt over 2.5 Goals evens
Ladbrokes or 2.04 Betfair

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