Can Fulham strengthen Uefa push at Man City?

Date: 11th April 2009 at 12:19 pm
Written by theoracle

Premiership Preview.co.uk takes a look ahead to Sunday's game at Eastlands and pinpoints the best prices for those of you who enjoy a flutter.

 

 

Manchester City v Fulham

Sunday 12th April 4pm ko Live on Setanta

H2H in Premier League 

2008/2009

06/12/2008

Fulham

1-1

Manchester City

2007/2008

26/04/2008

Manchester City

2-3

Fulham

22/09/2007

Fulham

3-3

Manchester City

2006/2007

09/04/2007

Fulham

1-3

Manchester City

18/11/2006

Manchester City

3-1

Fulham

2005/2006

29/04/2006

Manchester City

1-2

Fulham

05/11/2005

Fulham

2-1

Manchester City

2004/2005

16/04/2005

Fulham

1-1

Manchester City

14/08/2004

Manchester City

1-1

Fulham

2003/2004

27/03/2004

Manchester City

0-0

Fulham

20/09/2003

Fulham

2-2

Manchester City

HOME/AWAY AVERAGES (LAST 20 GAMES)

MANCHESTER CITY – HOME

WON

12

60%

4/6

DRAW

1

5%

20/1

LOST

7

35%

15/8

 

 

 

 

OVER 2.5 GOALS

12

60%

4/6

UNDER 2.5 GOALS

8

40%

6/4

 

 

 

 

FOUR GOALS OR MORE

6

30%

23/10

0-0 DRAW

1

5%

20/1

FULHAM – AWAY

WON

4

20%

4/1

DRAW

8

40%

6/4

LOST

8

40%

6/4

 

 

 

 

OVER 2.5 GOALS

6

30%

23/10

UNDER 2.5 GOALS

14

70%

2/5

 

 

 

 

FOUR GOALS OR MORE

4

20%

4/1

0-0 DRAW

6

30%

23/10

 

H2H (LAST 5 SEASONS – 10 LEAGUE GAME)  

OVER 2.5 GOALS

7

64%

4/7

UNDER 2.5 GOALS

4

36%

7/4

 

 

 

 

FOUR GOALS OR MORE

5

45%

6/5

0-0 DRAW

1

9%

10/1

 

THIS SEASONS GOAL AVERAGES PER GAME 

THE PREMIERSHIP

2.5

HOME

AWAY

MANCHESTER CITY

2.7

2.9

2.6

FULHAM

1.8

2.3

1.3

CURRENT FORM

 

MANCHESTER CITY - LAST FIVE GAMES 

Premier League

15/03/2009

Chelsea

1-0

Man City

LOST

UEFA Cup

19/03/2009

Aalborg

2-0

Man City

LOST

Premier League

22/03/2009

Man City

1-0

Sunderland

WON

Premier League

04/04/2009

Arsenal

2-0

Man City

LOST

UEFA Cup

09/04/2009

Hamburg

3-1 

Man City

LOST 

 

FULHAM - LAST FIVE GAMES 

FA Cup

07/03/2009

Fulham

0-4

Man Utd

LOST

Premier League

11/03/2009

Fulham

1-2

Blackburn

LOST

Premier League

14/03/2009

Bolton

1-3

Fulham

WON

Premier League

21/03/2009

Fulham

2-0

Man Utd

WON

Premier League

04/04/2009

Fulham

0-1

Liverpool

LOST

 

 

TEAM NEWS

Strikers Craig Bellamy and Benjani both picked up injuries in City's mid week defeat by Hamburg and are ruled out. 

Shaun Wright-Phillips, Vincent Kompany and Wayne Bridge are all doubtful. 

Michael Johnson remains a long term absentee. 

Fulham have doubts over Zoltan Gera but have an otherwise fully fit squad. 

MANCHESTER CITY Squad: Given, Richards, Onuoha, Dunne, Zabaleta, Wright-Phillips, Elano, Ireland, de Jong, Robinho, Bojinov, Bridge, Garrido, Fernandes, Evans, Etuhu, Vassell, McGivern, Hart, Petrov. 

FULHAM Squad: Schwarzer, Pantsil, Stoor, Hughes, Hangeland, Konchesky, Baird, Davies, Etuhu, Dacourt, Murphy, Gera, Dempsey, Johnson, Zamora, Zuberbuhler, Kallio, Nevland, Kamara, Gray, Barnes. 

TOP SCORERS (LEAGUE ONLY) 

MANCHESTER CITY     FULHAM 

PLAYER

Goals

 

PLAYER

Goals

Robinho

11

 

Andrew Johnson

7

Stephen Ireland

7

 

Clint Dempsey

5

Shaun Wright-Phillips

5

 

Danny Murphy

4

Elano

4

 

Bobby Zamora

2

Daniel Sturridge

3

 

Jimmy Bullard

2

Craig Bellamy

2

 

Erik Nevland

2

 

THE ORACLE'S MATCH PRICES (100% BOOK) 

MANCHESTER CITY   10/11 52%

DRAW   12/5 29% 

FULHAM  17/4 19% 

 

ANALYSIS

 

MATCH: 

Although Manchester City have lost four of their last five in all competitions, closer inspection of their results is required before we pass judgement. All four of those games were away from home and this has been City's Achilles heel all season. They have won just once away from Eastlands this season and it is something they will have to greatly improve on if they have aspirations of making the top four next season. Home games, however, are an entirely different story. Only Manchester United have won more games at home this season and City have beaten everyone outside the top five apart from Tottenham. If they can beat Fulham on Sunday it will be their seventh home win in a row. 

Fulham are in exactly the same boat as City. Just two points separate them in the league and at home, Fulham are all conquering, away however, they are terrible. In fact, terrible doesn't quite sum up Fulham away from Craven Cottage. Not only have they won just once in fifteen games this season, they have only won six times going back four years! There can't be many sides in all of Europe with such a prolonged bout of travel sickness. 

The main problem seems to be an ultra defensive approach away from home. Fulham have failed to score in eleven of their fifteen away games and have scored just once in seven visits to top half opposition. This fits quite well with another statistic which says that City have won eight of their ten home victories "to nil". Consequently, Manchester City to "win to nil" at 2/1 looks like a value bet. A slight word of warning however, is that Fulham do draw a lot of away games. Six of their seven away draws have been 0-0 and so a small saver on no goalscorer at 9/1 may be prudent.  

GOALS: 

There is a history of goals in this fixture in recent years with six of the last seven featuring three or more. Manchester City home games also tend to be high scoring affairs with twelve of the last twenty featuring three or more. Fulham away games however, average an incredibly stingy 1.3 goals per game this season. Eleven out of fifteen have featured two goals or less. With Fulham continuing to adopt such a negative approach on the road, another low scoring game looks on the cards. 

GOALSCORERS: 

Steven Ireland is the player to back here at 4/1 to score anytime with Paddypower. He marked his return from injury with a goal against Hamburg during the week and now has eleven in all competitions, just one behind Robinho.

 

RECOMMENDATIONS

1PT MANCHESTER CITY TO "WIN TO NIL" 2/1 PADDYPOWER AND WILLIAM HILL


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