This stage of the campaign sees the pressure on the bottom three ramp up as the treacherous waters of the Premier League’s relegation battle enter their most raging tides. Considering the financial gain of remaining amongst the English elite, the notion of dropping down into the Championship is a rather scary one indeed.
Having seen the likes of Leeds United, Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County struggle to make it out of the second tier over the years, previous powerhouses of English football provide an example of the wilderness relegation can bring.
So, it’s fair to say a whole host of clubs battling towards the trap door are pretty nervous right now. Though, in the past, we’ve seen the likes of Sunderland, Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion pull off great escapes, football analytics @ have compiled the % chance of who will go down this season.
Updated #EPL relegation chances – MD27.
Looks like most of this race could be done by now.
The bottom three teams really need something. pic.twitter.com/UPYfsTr1q8
— 11tegen11 (@11tegen11) March 7, 2017
Following the results of matchday 27, the aforementioned Black Cats (despite their expertise in this regard) have a 91% chance of finally succumbing to relegation. Elsewhere in the North East, Middlesbrough are made 82% to follow them, while Hull City’s revival under Marco Silva could be short-lived, as the Tigers are also said to have an 82% chance.
It’s good news for Swansea City, whose managerial merry-go-round this season, appears to have paid off in the eyes of these experts, with the Swans only said to have an 8% chance, while the Sam Allardyce factor at Crystal Palace has them given just a 23% of going down.