Club football comes back with a vengeance this weekend with derby fever gripping the British Isles. But the Manchester derby isn’t the only game in the Premier League this weekend. In fact, it might not even be the most important game. And if you’re picking your fantasy team, it’s probably the one you want to avoid, given its unpredictable nature.
The north London teams, however, have fairly winnable games this weekend, and as FanDuel will match your first deposit all the way up to £400, that probably means you’ll want to get it right to earn some serious cash. But who should you pick for your team?
Although Arsenal have scored double the goals that Spurs have scored so far this season, data from FanDuel shows that Tottenham have won more points from chance creation over the first three games of this season.
Arsenal have just shelled out for a new striker, Lucas Perez, but having scored more goals from fewer chances, it’s clear their finishing hasn’t been the problem so far. Tottenham, on the other hand, are quite clearly creating more chances but, but they aren’t putting them away. And considering you score only three points for a created chance, a lead of over 20 points is quite something after three games.
The transfer window is now done and dusted, teams are settled and form will start to settle, too. But the data so far is showing that the creative portion of your FanDuel team is perhaps better served by Tottenham players than it is by loading up with Arsenal’s plethora of big-name creative midfielders.
It’s a great omen for Spurs, and one that shows they’re on the right track, even if their start to the season has been sluggish. In many ways, it’s better to be creating chances and missing them than it is to be relying on some clinical finishing from on-form individuals. In the end, form is temporary and liable to change. If the winds were to blow differently and Arsenal were to start having finishing trouble, they would have fewer chances to catch a lucky break.
Conversely, if Spurs start to let up in terms of creating chances, they still have two strikers whose form over the past few seasons has seen them score prolifically. You get the feeling that Harry Kane – who has never scored a Premier League goal in August – will start to get amongst the goals over the next couple of weeks.
It’s not just that you win points on FanDuel for chances created (three per chance), it’s also the fact that if Spurs start to add the finishing touches to these moves, their players will start to score even more heavily, adding goals (15 per goal) and assists (seven per assist).
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