This article is part of Football FanCast’s Opinion series, which provides analysis, insight and opinion on any issue within the beautiful game, from Paul Pogba’s haircuts to League Two relegation battles…
Harry Kane will not have appreciated being overshadowed in the last two Golden Boot races.
Mohamed Salah won the award in 2017/18, scoring 32 goals in 36 appearances, and then shared it the following season with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Sadio Mane after hitting the net on 22 occasions.
The Tottenham Hotspur striker had won the award for the previous two seasons running and he will surely be champing at the bit to get his hands on the individual gong once again.
With the appointment of Jose Mourinho as their new manager following the sacking of Mauricio Pochettino, though, one has to wonder how the England captain will fare as he looks to hit the top of the scoring charts once again.
Indeed, the Portuguese has managed some of the very best strikers in world football, from Didier Drogba to Diego Milito and Zlatan Ibrahimovic to Cristiano Ronaldo.
But a statistical quirk suggests that Kane may struggle to get back to his award-winning self under the ex-Inter Milan boss.
Ronaldo did it three times and even hit 46 in La Liga in 2011/12, in just 38 games. That, quite simply, is freakishly good.
Ibrahimovic, meanwhile, hit 25 in Serie A back in 08/09 but, strangely, none of Mourinho’s strikers have managed the feat in the Premier League.
Romelu Lukaku scored 16 at Manchester United in 2017/18, Ibrahimovic scored 17 for the Red Devils in 16/17, Diego Costa scored 20 for Chelsea in 14/15 and Drogba only ever scored 20 in the league too, in 06/07.
Kane, of course, already has six goals to his name this season but the stats suggest he will have to work hard to hit the back of the net with regularity under Mourinho.
Jamie Vardy currently leads the scoring charts with 11 goals in 12 games and a strike rate of 0.91. Extrapolated, if he continues on his current form, his strike rate over 38 games would see him net 35 goals in total.
If Kane is going to reach those levels, he will have to be Mourinho’s best forward since Ronaldo.
Good luck, Harry.